TradeGrade
BBB

Grade

Provisional

rafaela_rigo_

@rafaela_rigo_166K followers

Crypto

TG Grade
BBB
No red flags on the checks listed
Hit rate, tested
42%vs 30% chanceon the same kinds of call
Recent calls weigh more and a restated call counts once. Plain count: 7 of 16 resolved calls (44%).
Calls on record
22
6 open
Material read
198
of their own items

How this grade was reached

2 of 6 checks count

  • Calls vs chanceNot reliably different from chance (42% vs 30%): no change
  • Paid accessChecked, not counted yet: this check is still in its precision audit
  • Paid promotionChecked, not counted yet: this check is still in its precision audit
  • Referral linksChecked: nothing found
  • Removed postsNot measured yet: removals count after 30 days of watching
  • Regulator listsNot checked yet
  1. Starting point
    Everyone starts at BBB: no red flags found on the checks below.
    BBB
  2. Findings
    The checks below found nothing against them.
    no change
  3. Calls
    Their calls were tested against chance: 42% came good where chance would give 30%. On about 15 calls, a 12-point gap could still be luck: moving a grade needs a record that luck alone would produce less than once in a thousand, so the grade does not change. On this record, the test would reliably detect only an edge of about 49 points or more, so “in line with chance” means there is not yet enough evidence either way, not that there is no skill.
    no change
  4. GradeBBBNo red flags found on the checks listed. The starting point for everyone.

What we checked

Material read
198 of their own items and their profile · X profile, posts on X
Sells paid access
None found
Invites paid promotion
None found
Referral links
None found
Removes their record
Not yet measured. Removals count only after 30 days of watching, so this grade is provisional until then.
Regulator warning lists
Not yet checked
Last public post
0 days ago
How they talk
59% of their directional statements name a price level(described, not scored)

Calls on record

22 calls · 7 hit · 9 missed · 6 open

1 restatement of a call that was still open, each counted once

Hit rate

The rate the call test uses, against what chance would score on the same kinds of call. Recent calls weigh more, and a call restated while still open counts once.

Plain count, every resolved call equal: 7 of 16 came true (44%).

Call history

HitMissOpen, not yet resolved

Market coverage

BTC 17 (77%)DOGE 1 (5%)WOO 1 (5%)ENA 1 (5%)Other 2 (9%)

  1. 13 Sept

    BTCLong77,135 → 86,000· 23d

    . $BTC LONG 🐂 send it! ❇️❇️❇️ Green week ahead is what I see 🙏✅ ***$86k remains the target and tweet below remains the same .

    Target reached inside the window.source ↗

    Hit
  2. 9 Sept

    DOGELong0.0865 → 0.25· 365d

    . $DOGE MACRO TARGET Going from $14.8B to $43B is what I see for this cycle Max target $0.25 ✅3.8X from bottom price It may sound conservative for most people, but…

    Still open.source ↗

    Open
  3. 9 Sept

    WOOLong0.01142 → 0.26· 365d

    . $WOO (requested) MACRO TARGET 30X TOKEN Mcap: $21.4M ❇️Bottom is in‼️ Woo is not in a hot sector - CeFi / DeFi infrastructure 23X potential from current level…

    Still open.source ↗

    Open
  4. 31 Jul

    BTCShort63,919 → 60,000· 15d

    . TODAY IS THE DAY Monthly closes today! And I will share what I see in more detail. Just bear in mind that during the bear markets, July often brings a dead-cat…

    Price moved against the call.source ↗

    Miss
  5. 28 Jul

    BTCShort64,043 → 60,700· 11d

    . TOMORROW! $BTC daily flipped bearish 3 days ago, and tomorrow we have an important close - 5D close - Weekly close - 2W close - 3W close * my tfs close before yours…

    Price moved against the call.source ↗

    Miss
  6. 24 Jul

    ENALong0.0862 → 0.85· 365d

    . $ENA is accumulating Accumulation zone: between $0.07 & $0.13 Its bull cycle is likely to start around August 2026, and the confirmation of its upside, starts when…

    Still open.source ↗

    Open
  7. 17 Jul

    ETHShort1,826 → 800· 365d

    . $ETH MACRO ANALYSIS My views on ETH remain the same since December 2024!

    Still open.source ↗

    Open
  8. 3 Jul

    BTCShort62,210 → 53,000· 53d

    . $BTC MACRO TARGET UPDATE First short position shared in October 25 when macro chart turned bearish 🐻, confirming the end of the bullrun 🐂 (see pinned tweet 📌) 3M…

    Price moved against the call.source ↗

    Miss
  9. 3 Jul

    BTCLong61,923 → 65,000· 6d

    . $BTC daily flipped bullish yesterday NO MORE SHORTS until further notice ✅ A GREEN MONTH made of choppy slow movements is what I see $65k before $57k is what I am…

    Price moved against the call.source ↗

    Miss
  10. 24 Jun

    BTCShort61,110 → 56,900· 10d

    . IM SHORT AGAIN $BTC Trying my luck here at resistance Entry $61k Exit $56.9k Macro target remain $53k .

    Price moved against the call.source ↗

    Miss

Grade history

All rating changes →

Every change of this person's published letter, newest first, with what moved it.

  1. CBBB

    New rating method (v5): No red flags on the checks listed

Not yet measured. reviewed evidence, wallets, publishing cadence.

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