Michaël van de Poppe

How this grade was reached

1. Starting point
   Everyone starts at BBB: no red flags found on the checks below.
   BBB
2. Findings
   The checks below found nothing against them.
   no change
3. Calls
   Their calls were tested against chance: 44% came good where chance would give 36%. On about 28 calls, an 8-point gap could still be luck: moving a grade needs a record that luck alone would produce less than once in a thousand, so the grade does not change. On this record, the test would reliably detect only an edge of about 44 points or more, so “in line with chance” means there is not yet enough evidence either way, not that there is no skill.

   44% came good

   chance 36%
   no change
4. GradeBBBNo red flags found on the checks listed. The starting point for everyone.

What we checked

Material read

1,014 of their own items and their profile · X profile, posts on X

Sells paid access

None found

Invites paid promotion

None found

Referral links

None found

Removes their record

Not yet measured. Removals count only after 30 days of watching, so this grade is provisional until then.

Regulator warning lists

Not yet checked

Last public post

0 days ago

How they talk

42% of their directional statements name a price level(described, not scored)

1. 18 Sept

   BTCLong80,938 → 100,000· 80d

   This is not bearish. It's the opposite and it's a new way of QE or increasing the money supply in the system without impacting the balance sheet. Hard assets will…

   Still open.source ↗

   Open
2. 18 Sept

   BTCLong80,938 → 90,000· 19d

   Straight candle towards $81,000 after flipping $78,000 for support. What a phenomenal chart it is. Very likely the markets are proceeding towards $90,000 from here.…

   Price moved against the call.source ↗

   Miss
3. 17 Sept

   NEARLong3.012 → 5· 118d

   Absolutely phenomenal chart on $NEAR. Sure, it's at the final point of resistance, but given the fact that $ZEC is acting in the way that it is. It's just a matter of…

   Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
4. 17 Sept

   NEARLong2.806 → 3· 3d

   Phenomenal push on $NEAR. Just probably expecting to see a short correction before this continues to run towards the recent highs at $3. $ZEC already taking its…

   Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
5. 15 Sept

   ARBLong0.1408 → 0.185· 12d

   It seems like we're holding the first level of support for $ARB and are curling back upwards.

   Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
6. 14 Sept

   BTCLong78,000 → 81,000· 3d

   I'm looking at a bullish continuation for #Bitcoin here.

   Restates a call that was still open · counted once. Price moved against the call.source ↗

   Miss
7. 14 Sept

   TAOLong234.8 → 300· 40d

   I'd much prefer to see $TAO hold on this level.

   Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
8. 13 Sept

   SUILong0.7232 → 0.85· 17d

   A full retest of this support area for $SUI, which I'd like to see hold.

   Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
9. 13 Sept

   BTCLong78,000 → 90,000· 21d

   Monitoring the chart on #Bitcoin tells my gut that we're most likely not going to fall that deep.

   Price moved against the call.source ↗

   Miss
10. 10 Jun

    BTCLong64,000 → 75,000· 75d

    #Bitcoin remains to be stuck between these levels.

    Restates a call that was still open · counted once. Target reached inside the window.source ↗

    Hit

Every change of this person's published letter, newest first, with what moved it.

1. 7 Oct 2026C→BBB

   New rating method (v5): No red flags on the checks listed

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