BBB

Grade

Provisional

merlijntrader

Name: TradeGrade rating: merlijntrader
Item: merlijntrader
Rating: 5

@merlijntrader427K followers

Crypto

TG Grade

BBB

No red flags on the checks listed

Hit rate, tested

46%vs 38% chanceon the same kinds of call

Recent calls weigh more and a restated call counts once. Plain count: 11 of 22 resolved calls (50%).

Calls on record

9 open

Material read

520

of their own items

How this grade was reached

2 of 6 checks count

Calls vs chanceNot reliably different from chance (46% vs 38%): no change
Paid accessChecked, not counted yet: this check is still in its precision audit
Paid promotionChecked, not counted yet: this check is still in its precision audit
Referral linksChecked: nothing found
Removed postsNot measured yet: removals count after 30 days of watching
Regulator listsNot checked yet

Starting point
Everyone starts at BBB: no red flags found on the checks below.
BBB
Findings
The checks below found nothing against them.
no change
Calls
Their calls were tested against chance: 46% came good where chance would give 38%. On about 21 calls, an 8-point gap could still be luck: moving a grade needs a record that luck alone would produce less than once in a thousand, so the grade does not change. On this record, the test would reliably detect only an edge of about 47 points or more, so “in line with chance” means there is not yet enough evidence either way, not that there is no skill.
46% came good
chance 38%
no change
GradeBBBNo red flags found on the checks listed. The starting point for everyone.

What we checked

Material read: 520 of their own items and their profile · X profile, posts on X
Sells paid access: None found
Invites paid promotion: None found
Referral links: None found
Removes their record: Not yet measured. Removals count only after 30 days of watching, so this grade is provisional until then.
Regulator warning lists: Not yet checked
Last public post: 0 days ago
How they talk: 75% of their directional statements name a price level(described, not scored)

Calls on record

31 calls · 11 hit · 11 missed · 9 open

10 restatements of a call that was still open, each counted once

Hit rate

The rate the call test uses, against what chance would score on the same kinds of call. Recent calls weigh more, and a call restated while still open counts once.

46% came good

chance 38%

Plain count, every resolved call equal: 11 of 22 came true (50%).

Call history

FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSept

HitMissOpen, not yet resolved

Market coverage

BTC 19 (61%)ETH 12 (39%)

20 Sept
BTCLong80,912 → 170,000· 365d
BITCOIN WON’T WAIT UNTIL YOU FEEL BULLISH.
Restates a call that was still open · counted once. Still open.source ↗
Open
18 Sept
BTCLongtrigger 78,000 → test level 80,620
$BTC is trying to break out of this falling wedge.
Setup, no stop named, 3% risk assumed. Target reached inside the window.source ↗
Hit
17 Sept
BTCLong76,575 → 170,000· 365d
PLEASE DON’T MISS THE NEXT BITCOIN RALLY WAITING FOR $50K.
Restates a call that was still open · counted once. Still open.source ↗
Open
15 Sept
BTCLong76,940 → 130,000· 365d
THIS BITCOIN PULLBACK COULD BE YOUR LAST CHANCE BEFORE THE NEXT BIG RALLY.
Restates a call that was still open · counted once. Still open.source ↗
Open
12 Sept
ETHLong2,535 → 5,700· 365d
MISSED $1,500 ETHEREUM? I DON’T THINK THE OPPORTUNITY IS OVER.
Restates a call that was still open · counted once. Still open.source ↗
Open
5 Sept
BTCLong79,650 → 170,000· 365d
BITCOIN ABOVE $75,000. THE PARABOLIC CURVE IS REPEATING. The 2021 and 2025 cycles: base. Run. Sell point. Correction. Next base. 2021 sell point: -67%. 2025 sell…
Still open.source ↗
Open
2 Sept
BTCShort76,829 → 72,000· 9d
BITCOIN BROKE $77,000. THE CORRECTION HAS STARTED. Same 2022 bottom fractal. The pullback into the Golden Cross I called on 24 August is unfolding. $72,000 is coming.…
Price moved against the call.source ↗
Miss
31 Aug
ETHLong2,468 → 2,600· 3d
ETHEREUM JUST BROKE OUT OF THE 2026 BEAR STRUCTURE.
Price moved against the call.source ↗
Miss
30 Aug
BTCLong78,166 → 225,960· 365d
$225,960 BITCOIN. THE FIBONACCI TARGET FROM GOLD'S 1974 FRACTAL. Gold made a 1-2-3 top in 1974 at $195. Then hit 1.618 at $314. Bitcoin made a 1-2-3 top in 2025 at…
Still open.source ↗
Open
20 Aug
BTCLong71,692 → 150,000· 365d
$40,000 BITCOIN IS OFF THE TABLE. THE BEARS WERE WRONG THE 2026 WEDGE BREAKOUT CONFIRMED AT $69,513 WITH THE SAME BULLISH RSI DIVERGENCE. The 2022 breakout ran 4x in…
Restates a call that was still open · counted once. Still open.source ↗
Open

Grade history

All rating changes →

Every change of this person's published letter, newest first, with what moved it.

7 Oct 2026CBBB
New rating method (v5): No red flags on the checks listed

Not yet measured. reviewed evidence, wallets, publishing cadence.

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This grade is TradeGrade's opinion, formed from the public evidence cited on this page. It was not requested, paid for or approved by the person rated, and it is not financial advice. How it is calculated · Correct something, or reply