gertvanlagen

How this grade was reached

1. Starting point
   Everyone starts at BBB: no red flags found on the checks below.
   BBB
2. Findings
   The checks below found nothing against them.
   no change
3. Calls
   Their calls were tested against chance: 26% came good where chance would give 38%. On about 9 calls, a 12-point gap could still be luck: moving a grade needs a record that luck alone would produce less than once in a thousand, so the grade does not change. On this record, even getting every call right would not yet clear the bar: it needs more resolved calls before it could show an edge.

   26% came good

   chance 38%
   no change
4. GradeBBBNo red flags found on the checks listed. The starting point for everyone.

What we checked

Material read

227 of their own items and their profile · X profile, posts on X

Sells paid access

None found

Invites paid promotion

None found

Referral links

None found

Removes their record

Not yet measured. Removals count only after 30 days of watching, so this grade is provisional until then.

Regulator warning lists

Not yet checked

How they talk

58% of their directional statements name a price level(described, not scored)

1. 21 Sept

   BTCLong85,323 → 126,000· 365d

   $BTC breaks its 1-year downtrend by printing its first higher high since the $126k ATH.

   Still open.source ↗

   Open
2. 21 Aug

   BTCLong79,258 → 300,000· 365d

   $BTC is mimicking the breakout above the red horizontal resistance from the 2022 bear trap bottom (❌) at the lower trendline of a megaphone structure.

   Restates a call that was still open · counted once. Still open.source ↗

   Open
3. 4 Jun

   ETHLong1,777 → 10,000· 365d

   $ETH is printing a highly complex Expanding Diagonal, consisting of 5 corrective waves in a triangular structure.

   Restates a call that was still open · counted once. Still open.source ↗

   Open
4. 5 May

   BTCLong81,271 → 400,000· 365d

   $BTC [2022–2026] vs #DJI [1974–2026] #Bitcoin appears ready to enter its final blow-off wave ⑤, with a target around $400K.

   Still open.source ↗

   Open
5. 30 Apr

   BTCLong76,350 → 100,000· 275d

   $BTC [9h] - bullish retest of double bottom breakout; targeting $100k+ on lower timeframe.

   Still open.source ↗

   Open
6. 15 Apr

   BTCLongtrigger 74,400 → test level 77,087

   $BTC is currently retesting its 2025 low near $74.4k after finding support at the lower boundary of the weekly channel.

   Setup, no stop named, 3% risk assumed. Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
7. 16 Mar

   BTCLongtrigger 74,400 → test level 76,632

   $BTC Bump-and-Run has cleared the 2026 downtrend with breakout + retest.

   Setup, no stop named, 3% risk assumed. Price moved against the call.source ↗

   Miss
8. 8 Jan

   BTCLong89,962 → 380,000· 365d

   $BTC is ready to rally to the target line at $380k-$500k.

   Still open.source ↗

   Open
9. 7 Dec

   BTCLong90,945 → 390,000· 365d

   $BTC [2009–now] vs GOOGL [2004–2009] $BTC is in the final blow-off wave of its first bull market since 2009, targeting ~$390k.

   Restates a call that was still open · counted once. Still open.source ↗

   Open
10. 2 Dec

    BTCLong86,472 → 390,000· 365d

    [1/2] $BTC [2009–now] vs GOOGL [2004–2009] $BTC is in the final blow-off wave of its first bull market since 2009, targeting ~$390k.

    Still open.source ↗

    Open

Every change of this person's published letter, newest first, with what moved it.

1. 7 Oct 2026D→BBB

   New rating method (v5): No red flags on the checks listed

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