John Walsh

How this grade was reached

1. Starting point
   Everyone starts at BBB: no red flags found on the checks below.
   BBB
2. Findings
   The checks below found nothing against them.
   no change
3. Calls
   Their calls were tested against chance: 11% came good where chance would give 39%. On about 9 calls, a 27-point gap could still be luck: moving a grade needs a record that luck alone would produce less than once in a thousand, so the grade does not change. On this record, even getting every call right would not yet clear the bar: it needs more resolved calls before it could show an edge.

   11% came good

   chance 39%
   no change
4. GradeBBBNo red flags found on the checks listed. The starting point for everyone.

What we checked

Material read

917 of their own items and their profile · X profile, posts on X

Sells paid access

None found

Invites paid promotion

None found

Referral links

None found

Removes their record

Not yet measured. Removals count only after 30 days of watching, so this grade is provisional until then.

Regulator warning lists

Not yet checked

Last public post

0 days ago

How they talk

26% of their directional statements name a price level(described, not scored)

1. 10 Aug

   ETHLong1,920 → 6,000· 21d

   Watching for something like this over the coming weeks to get long $ETH to $6k

   Price moved against the call.source ↗

   Miss
2. 28 Jun

   BTCLong59,660 → 170,000· 365d

   I think between now and October we have a macro bottom in the crypto markets and in 2027 we see Bitcoin recover to new ATH's and potentially towards $170k+ by 2028

   Still open.source ↗

   Open
3. 8 May

   BTCLong80,231 → 85,000· 7d

   All things considered $BTC holding well especially without Saylor & STRC bidding STRC likely repegs to $100 in the next day or two I think we pop into 85-87k next week

   Price moved against the call.source ↗

   Miss
4. 11 Apr

   BTCLong72,705 → 80,000· 5d

   Bitcoin will breakout higher in the coming days to $80k

   Restates a call that was still open · counted once. Price moved against the call.source ↗

   Miss
5. 7 Apr

   TAOLong335.2 → 400· 16d

   $TAO breaking out It wants $400+

   Price moved against the call.source ↗

   Miss
6. 2 Apr

   BTCLong66,271 → 80,000· 74d

   Maybe I'm being a delusional bull here, but I have to say even with all the chaos in the Middle East, oil prices surging, and stocks showing weakness, Bitcoin has…

   Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
7. 5 Jan

   BTCLong93,428 → 100,000· 28d

   Strongest $BTC PA we have seen in a long way I have trust issues trusting a weekend pump and immediately pump off the weekly close Maybe this time is different but…

   Price moved against the call.source ↗

   Miss
8. 6 Nov

   BTCLongtrigger 98,000 → test level 105,629

   $BTC In an ideal world we come back down to sweep the equal lows at $98k then resume up We could front run this level but a sweep of these lows & a strong reclaim…

   Setup, no stop named, 3% risk assumed. Price moved against the call.source ↗

   Miss
9. 14 Oct

   ETHLong3,941 → 5,000· 17d

   $ETH higher low in the making Now we send it to $5k by end of month

   Price moved against the call.source ↗

   Miss
10. 9 Oct

    BTCLong121,315 → 152,000· 273d

    $BTC chop everyone up then send it to $152k

    Price moved against the call.source ↗

    Miss

Every change of this person's published letter, newest first, with what moved it.

1. 7 Oct 2026C→BBB

   New rating method (v5): No red flags on the checks listed

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