apechartz

How this grade was reached

1. Starting point
   Everyone starts at BBB: no red flags found on the checks below.
   BBB
2. Findings
   The checks below found nothing against them.
   no change
3. Calls
   Their calls were tested against chance: 64% came good where chance would give 41%. On about 12 calls, a 23-point gap could still be luck: moving a grade needs a record that luck alone would produce less than once in a thousand, so the grade does not change. On this record, the test would reliably detect only an edge of about 55 points or more, so “in line with chance” means there is not yet enough evidence either way, not that there is no skill.

   64% came good

   chance 41%
   no change
4. GradeBBBNo red flags found on the checks listed. The starting point for everyone.

What we checked

Material read

498 of their own items and their profile · X profile, posts on X

Sells paid access

None found

Invites paid promotion

None found

Referral links

None found

Removes their record

Not yet measured. Removals count only after 30 days of watching, so this grade is provisional until then.

Regulator warning lists

Not yet checked

How they talk

39% of their directional statements name a price level(described, not scored)

1. 9 Jun

   BTCLong61,132 → 63,000· 3d

   $BTC Some thoughts here: Low swept + POC reached with supporting bids below If we can hold this level I'm expecting a move back towards 63k Break down and we likely…

   Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
2. 20 Apr

   BTCLongtrigger 75,800 → test level 78,074

   $BTC This long ended up playing out nicely right into our resistance We are currently chopping under POC cluster + reistance between 75.5k-75.8k If we fail to close…

   Setup, no stop named, 3% risk assumed. Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
3. 13 Apr

   BTCLong72,425 → 75,000· 3d

   $BTC Trade complete and longs fully played out here I am cautiously bullish now as we approach range highs + origin of dump If we can reclaim this level while putting…

   Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
4. 7 Apr

   BTCShorttrigger 69,500 → test level 66,340

   $BTC Waiting for either side to get my triggers Shorting a move up into 69.5k and looking for longs today if we move down into 67s Best to stay patient here with a…

   Setup, no stop named, 3% risk assumed. Price moved against the call.source ↗

   Miss
5. 28 Jan

   ETHShorttrigger 3,080 → test level 2,926

   $ETH Looking for shorts on a move above this high and then back down Lines up with daily EMA as well, think 3080-3100 should provide solid resistance Price is…

   Setup, no stop named, 3% risk assumed. Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
6. 21 Jan

   BTCLong88,485 → 93,000· 11d

   $BTC Potential 4hr divergence + SFP forming for potential longs On confirmation, will be looking to take this long for a move back up to $93k Here are some stats for…

   Price moved against the call.source ↗

   Miss
7. 11 Nov

   BTCShort102,000 → 95,000· 12d

   #BTC Daily continues to close above support however it still looks pretty bearish I think $102k needs to hold as support on LTF otherwise we head towards $95k No new…

   Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
8. 26 Sept

   ETHShorttrigger 3,990 → test level 3,892

   $ETH Watching for same move as the whole week Close session bearish under previous session POC followed by grind up into it and nuke again I will be watching for…

   Setup. Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
9. 20 Sept

   SOLShorttrigger 250 → test level 230.317

   $SOL Supply hit + Daily Bearish Divergence confirmed here over the weekend IF we cannot reclaim $250 in the next couple of days, I am expecting a decent pullback The…

   Setup, no stop named, 3% risk assumed. Target reached inside the window.source ↗

   Hit
10. 4 Sept

    ETHLong4,305 → 4,500· 3d

    $ETH Started building a long here, looking to add full position if we head a bit lower Think we can trade up to equal highs at 4500 Nailed both the move up on ETH and…

    Price moved against the call.source ↗

    Miss

Every change of this person's published letter, newest first, with what moved it.

1. 7 Oct 2026D→BBB

   New rating method (v5): No red flags on the checks listed

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